战争复杂系统面临的挑战  

Challenges to War Complex System and its Solution Strategy

作　　者：陈超[1] 毛赤龙[1] 沙基昌[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学C~4ISR技术国防科技重点实验室,长沙410073

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2011年第3期1-6,共6页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(70671105)

摘　　要：首先从战争复杂系统的复杂性分析入手,从情景、认知、核心利益零和对抗、干预策略、内部协调性、不可重复性等角度深入分析了引起战争系统复杂性的8个因素,并给出了8个因素之间的层次关系。在此基础上,从战争复杂系统在方法论、方法以及技术方面的挑战出发,指出战争复杂系统研究所面临挑战中最重要的四大集成问题,即战法与装备集成、未来情景与干预策略集成、异质群体专家智慧集成和定性分析与定量分析集成,并给出了应对四大集成问题的有效方法——战争设计工程。This paper firstly analyzes the complexity of war system,and proposes 8 factors attributed to the complexity of war system from the view of scenario,cognition,core interest zero-sum gaming,interfering strategies,in-house corresponding,un-repeatability and etc.On this basis,the paper points out the four most important integration problem of all challenges to methodology,method and technology that the war complex system is confronted with in the research of war system,namely Tactics and equipment integration,future scenario and interfering strategies integration,heterogeneity group experts wisdom integration,quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis integration.At last,the effective method,war design engineering,to solve this four integration problem is presented.

关 键 词：战争复杂系统 战争设计工程 不可重复性 

分 类 号：E917[军事]