2010年上海世博会影响力的定量评估  

Influence of quantitative assessment about Expo 2010 Shanghai China

作　　者：邵曙光[1] 徐少贤[1] 桂琴[1] 易萍[1] 胡克平[1] 

机构地区：[1]南阳师范学院数学与统计学院,河南南阳473061

出　　处：《南阳师范学院学报》2011年第3期13-17,共5页Journal of Nanyang Normal University

基　　金：南阳师范学院STP资助课题(STP2010001)

摘　　要：2010年上海世博会是首次在中国举办的世界博览会,其影响力是人们关注的焦点.本文就上海世博会的影响力进行了定量评估.针对模型,根据世博会的展馆占地面积、参与国家及组织数量、展览馆的数量和参观人数的数据分析来对上海世博会的影响力进行定量评估.首先通过互联网查出历年世博会这四个方面的有关数据,对数据进行处理,运用模糊数学的方法分别列出这四个指标的隶属函数,得出其隶属度,从而得到模糊关系矩阵a.然后再采用变异系数法得到四个方面的权重矩阵w,从而确定世博会影响力的定量评估模型:y=w×a.横向比较得出上海世博会的影响力定量指标为1,从而得出上海世博会的影响力是最大的.Expo 2010 Shanghai China is the first world exposition held in China.Its influence is the focus of attention.In this paper,the influence of Expo 2010 Shanghai China will be a quantitative assessment.The model,according to World Expo pavilion area,the number of participating countries and organizations,galleries and the number of data analysis the number of visitors to the Shanghai World Expo impact quantitative assessment.First,find out through the Internet World Expo over the years these four aspects of the data,the data processing,the use of fuzzy mathematics to a breakdown of the membership function of the four indicators,draw their membership to get fuzzy relationship matrix a.Then obtained by variation coefficient weight matrix w in four areas to determine the quantitative impact of the World Expo assessment model：y=w×a.Shanghai World Expo will come to horizontal comparison of the influence of quantitative indicators to 1,to arrive at the influence of the Expo 2010 Shanghai China is the largest.

关 键 词：世博会 影响力 模糊数学 隶属函数 变异系数法 

分 类 号：O221.1[理学—运筹学与控制论]