制度质量、制度稳定性与对外贸易:一项实证研究  

Institutional Quality,Institutional Stability and Foreign Trade:An Empirical Study

作　　者：郭苏文[1,2] 黄汉民[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]西南政法大学经济学院,重庆401120

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2011年第4期47-51,共5页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：国家社科基金资助项目(07BJL042)

摘　　要：高质量的制度是贸易促进型的,而制度变迁对贸易的影响却是不确定的。即使是正向制度的变迁,在短期内也可能会因为制度的不稳定性而产生阻碍对外贸易发展的转型成本。文章利用1995～2009年105个国家的样本平均每5年期的面板数据,从法律制度、微观经济制度和宏观经济制度三个维度来综合考察制度质量和制度稳定性对一国对外贸易的影响,结果表明:一国的制度质量越高、稳定性越强,其对外贸易增长就越快。制度质量对国际贸易促进作用的发挥,需要制度的稳定性作保障,制度质量和制度稳定性在促进对外贸易的发展方面具有协同作用。High quality institution promotes the growth of trade while the impact of institutional change on trade is uncertain. Even if institution changes in a positive direction, it may also imply transitional costs in the short run due to its instability. Using the panel data of 105-country samples covering 1995 - 2009, this paper analyzes the influence of institutional quality and institutional stability on foreign trade from the three dimensions of legal, nficroeconomic and macroeconomic institutions. The empirical result indicates that： the higher institutional quality of a country is and the stronger institutional stability of the country is, the faster foreign trade of the country grows; the role that institutional quality plays in the growth of international trade needs support from institutional stability; institutional quality and institutional stability have synergistic effects on promoting the development of foreign trade.

关 键 词：制度质量 制度稳定性 对外贸易 

分 类 号：F40[经济管理—产业经济]