大萧条前后日本的进出口结构与总供求态势  

Analysis of Japan's Import-export Structure and Aggregate Supply-demand State before and after the Great Depression

作　　者：刘巍[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学中国计量经济史研究中心,广东广州510420

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2011年第4期52-57,共6页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(09BJL006)

摘　　要：实证分析表明,大萧条时期日本的装备制造业水平较低导致了资本形成严重依赖进口,总供求态势是供给约束型的,并未达到欧美经济强国的需求约束型经济境界。在样本区间内,日本的总供给价格弹性不过0.15,表现为极弱状态。因此,以需求约束型经济态势为基本前提假设的理论框架对这一时期日本宏观经济总量问题的研究均不适用。The quantitative analysis of the paper shows that the low level of Japanese equipment manufacturing during the great depression causes its serious dependency on import when forming capital. Moreover, its aggregate supply-demand state is supply-constraint, which does not equate with the demand-constraint economic powers in Europe and the United State. In the sample interval, the price elasticity of aggregate supply in Japan is only 0.15, which is a very weak state. Therefore, the researches on Japan＇s macro-economy based on the assumption of demand-constraint state are not applicable.

关 键 词：日本 进出口 资本形成 供给约束型经济 

分 类 号：F752.6[经济管理—国际贸易]