基于协整理论的乡镇企业发展对城乡二元经济结构的影响分析  

Influence of the Development of Township Enterprises on the Dual Economic Structure in Urban and Rural Areas Based on Cointegration Theory

作　　者：汤鹏主[1] 李彬[1] 

机构地区：[1]长江师范学院经济与工商管理学院,重庆408100

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2011年第10期6168-6171,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘　　要：用乡镇企业总产值增长率(XGDP)表示乡镇企业发展变量,用"CXEY"表示城乡二元经济结构变量,根据1986～2006年的相关各期《中国乡镇企业统计年鉴》和2006年《中国统计年鉴》中的相关数据,运用协整分析的方法研究乡镇企业发展对城乡二元经济结构的影响。结果表明,不考虑其他干扰因素的影响,1979～2005年的乡镇企业发展是我国城乡二元经济结构得到改善的关键因素。The gross output value of township enterprises（XGDP） is used as a development variable of township enterprises.And CXEY is a variable of dual economic structure in urban and rural areas.According to the 1986-2006 Statistical Yearbook of Chinese Township Enterprises and the 2006 China Statistical Yearbook,effects of the development of township enterprises on the dual economic structure in urban and rural areas are studied by the cointegration analysis.Result shows that without considering other influencing factors,township enterprise development in the years 1979-2005 is the key factor to improve the dual economic structure in urban and rural areas in China.

关 键 词：城乡 二元经济 乡镇企业 协整分析 

分 类 号：F320.2[经济管理—产业经济]