中国旅游经济的区域发展特征及影响因素实证研究  

A Study on the Characteristics and Influencing Factors of China Tourism Economy

作　　者：王淑新[1] 何元庆[1] 王学定[2] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所,甘肃兰州730000 [2]中国科学院成都分院,四川成都610041

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2011年第4期89-96,共8页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目资助(40971019)

摘　　要：文章主要用收敛法、Theil指数法、旅游资源地理集中指数法等考察了2000-2008年中国旅游经济的区域差异与收敛,研究结果显示:31个省(区、市)的旅游经济存在收敛,其差异趋于缩小;东、中、西3大地区旅游经济均不存在俱乐部收敛;城镇居民人均可支配收入水平和星级酒店水平在促进旅游经济增长方面不存在旅游发达省(区、市)与落后省(区、市)的差别,均具有增长效应。而人均旅游业固定资产投资在促进旅游经济增长方面存在旅游发达省(区、市)与落后省(区、市)的差别,具有收敛效应,其条件收敛速度为5.96%,收敛时间为11.6年;验证了中国将发展旅游业作为缩小区域发展差距手段的有效性。基于分析,提出落后地区旅游经济加快发展的建议措施。This paper studies regional disparities and convergence from 1996 to 2008 with the convergence method,the Theil index,index of the density of expressway and class Ⅰ to Ⅳ highways,and so on.Results indicate that（1） tourism economy among the 31 provinces is characterized by convergence,and the disparities become smaller.（2） The eastern,central and western regions all do not have a club convergence trend.（3） Per capita disposable income of urban households and the star-hotel levels have a same trend to the growth rate of per capita tourism revenue.They are all helpful for tourism development,and there is no difference among the 31 provinces.The per capita investment in fixed assets of the tourism industry has a reversal trend to the growth rate of per capita tourism revenue.But there are differences between developed provinces and developing provinces.The conditional convergence speed is 5.96 percent,and the conditional convergence time is 11.6 years.（4） It proves the effectiveness of reducing regional disparities by developing tourism.Finally,the paper puts forward some suggestions for speeding up the development of tourism economy in less developed provinces.

关 键 词：Σ-收敛 Β-收敛 俱乐部收敛 旅游经济 中国 

分 类 号：F590.3[经济管理—旅游管理]