高寒地区气象因素对城市主要传染病消长的影响研究  

Study on Cold Area of Meteorological Factors to the Impact Ofurban Main Infectious Diseases Paleolimnologic

作　　者：杨超[1] 郭淑珍[1] 周浩[1] 孙晓红[1] 崔国权[1] 吕松[1] 刘晓波[1] 颜洪海[1] 曹建滨[1] 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨市疾病预防控制中心,哈尔滨150056

出　　处：《中国初级卫生保健》2011年第4期79-82,共4页Chinese Primary Health Care

基　　金：哈尔滨市科技创新人才研究专项资金项目(2008RFXQS017)

摘　　要：目的揭示哈尔滨市6种传染病发病数与气象因素的定量关系,为高寒地区城市预防控制疾病发生或流行提供科学依据。方法收集2004—2009年哈尔滨市细菌性痢疾、感染性腹泻、猩红热、流行性腮腺炎、淋病和流行性出血热等6种传染病资料和气象资料,用Excel建立数据库,利用SPSS17.0统计软件进行分析。结果平均气温是影响细菌性痢疾、感染性腹泻、猩红热、淋病和流行性出血热等发病的重要气象因素,平均气湿是影响流行性腮腺炎发病的重要气象因素。结论根据预报模式方程及临界点和未来的短期气候预报可预测6种传染病的发病情况,以达到减少对人们健康危害的目的。OBJECTIVE Reveal the six infectious diseases quantitative relationship with meteorological factors in Harbin for cold area epidemic diseases prevention and control to provide a scientific basis.METHODS Collection the data of 2004—2009 Harbin six infectious diseases including dysentery,infectious diarrhea,scarlet fever,mumps,gonorrhea,epidemic hemorrhagic fever and meteorological.Use Excel to establish a database and treatment data with SPSS 17.0 statistical software.RESULTS Mean temperature is the important meteorological factor which affect incidence of bacillary dysentery,infectious diarrhea,scarlet fever,gonorrhea and epidemic hemorrhagic fever,the average air humidity is important meteorological factor of affecting the incidence of the epidemic mumps.CONCLUSION According to forecast model equation and the critical point and short-term future climate forecasting can predict the incidence of the six infectious diseases and reduce health risks for people.

关 键 词：高寒地区 气象因素 传染病 

分 类 号：R52[医药卫生—内科学]