基于灰色理论的间断性需求备件预测方法  

Research on Prediction Model for Intermittent Demand Spare Parts based on Grey Theory

作　　者：刘杨[1] 任德奎[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学兵器系,武汉430033

出　　处：《四川兵工学报》2011年第4期27-29,共3页Journal of Sichuan Ordnance

摘　　要：针对装备贮存过程中备件需求呈现间断性,难以对备件配置数量进行预测的问题,应用灰色理论,建立了间断性需求备件预测模型。计算实例表明,该方法简单实用,可在检测数据样本量较少的情况下对间断性需求备件进行有效预测,为备件配置数量的确定提供了理论参考。In order to solve the difficulty in forecasting the value of spare parts due to the intermittent demand in the storage.A model was established to meet the intermittent demand of the spare parts by using grey theory.The application of the real data proves that this method is so easy and realistic so as to be used to predict the value which is lacking in experiment data.And these forecast results provide a lot of reference data for assessing the value of spare parts.

关 键 词：间断性需求预测 灰色理论 备件 

分 类 号：N945.24[自然科学总论—系统科学]