基于灰色模糊理论的水运基础设施建设项目后评价模型  

Post evaluation model of water transport infrastructure project based on grey fuzzy theory

作　　者：徐冽[1] 朱红[2] 

机构地区：[1]南京铁道职业技术学院财经与物流管理系,江苏南京210015 [2]江苏省工程咨询中心规划咨询处,江苏南京210009

出　　处：《水运工程》2011年第4期24-27,39,共5页Port & Waterway Engineering

摘　　要：为解决水运基础设施建设项目后评价中定性评价指标偏多、数据不完备的问题,将灰色模糊理论引入水运基础设施建设项目的综合后评价中,构建了灰色模糊综合评价法。该模型利用灰色评估理论构造出模糊隶属度矩阵,并采用模糊算法计算出项目总体的风险大小。模型在淮安三线船闸工程项目后评价中的成功应用,表明该模型客观地反映后评价项目的成功度,提高了后评价结果的合理性。For solving the problem of so much qualitative indicator and incomplete data in post-evaluation of water transport infrastructure project,a grey and fuzzy model is proposed.The grey assessment is used to design the matrix,and then the risk of the project could be computed by fuzzy comprehensive assessment.The model has been successfully applied to the post evaluation of Huai＇an tripe ship lock project,which indicates that the model can reflect the degree of success objectively and the evaluation result is more scientific and more reasonable.

关 键 词：水运基础设施 指标体系 后评价 灰色模糊评价 

分 类 号：U692[交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]