中国与亚洲10个经济体的出口相似性研究  

Analysis of the Export Similarity between China and Ten Asian Economies

作　　者：Parinda Nirothsamabut 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院,北京100029

出　　处：《北京邮电大学学报（社会科学版）》2011年第2期83-89,共7页Journal of Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications(Social Sciences Edition)

摘　　要：通过计算出口相似性指数(ESI)和出口相似性加权指数(WESI),度量和分析了中国与亚洲10个经济体在欧美日和世界市场的出口相似程度和竞争关系。研究发现,中国与韩国的出口结构最为相似,中国的ESI大部分呈现上升趋势,反映了当中国的生产和出口结构正在升级和优化的同时,印度和越南等新兴发展中国家也在加快发展国内工业和出口部门,即将成为中国新的竞争对手。在考虑到规模效应的影响并将其引入指数时研究发现,中国工业制品的WESI都呈现下降趋势。这说明,从中国的角度来考虑,中国与亚洲10个经济体的竞争关系越来越小,另外,中国与日本的出口结构最为相似,竞争程度为最大。By computing the export similarity index（ESI） and the weighted export similarity index（WESI）,the study measures and analyzes the export similarity and competitive relation between China and ten Asian economies in EU,US,Japan and the world markets.The study finds that China＇s export structures are the most similar to Korea and most of China＇s ESI shows an increasing trend.An increasing trend of ESI implies that when China has been upgrading and optimizing its production and export structures,emerging developing countries like India and Vietnam are also accelerating their industrial and export sectors development,becoming China＇s new competitors.When the scale effect is introduced into the index,the study finds that the WESI of China＇s manufacturing products shows a decreasing trend which implies that,from China＇s perspective,the degree of export competition between China and ten Asian economies are getting smaller.Moreover,China＇s export structure is the most similar to Japan,suggesting the highest degree of competition.

关 键 词：出口相似性指数 出口相似性加权指数 出口结构 出口相似度 中国与亚洲 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易]