面临21世纪的中国地下水模拟问题  

Problems of groundwater modeling in china facing 21 st century

作　　者：薛禹群[1] 吴吉春[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学地球科学系

出　　处：《水文地质工程地质》1999年第5期1-3,共3页Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology

摘　　要：本文在扼要介绍了我国地下水模拟的发展历程和现状后，着重探讨了面临２１世纪中国地下水模拟发展中存在的几个带全局性的关键问题及其对策：与先进国家差距问题；基础理论的实验研究重视不够以及轻视具体地质条件研究，过多依赖模拟技术的苗头；模型建了很多，但效果如何很少有人问津问题。最后探讨了今后地下水模拟的发展趋向。In this paper,after introducing briefly the development and present situation of groundwater modeling in our country,we discuss emphatically some overall key problems and countermeasure of the development of groundwater modeling when we are faced with the 21 st century:Compared with advanced countries,our country still has a long way to go;insufficient attention on experimental research of basic theory and the trend of despising the research of concrete geological condition and depending more on siumulation technology;many models are established,but few people care to ask about their effects.Finally,we discuss the tendency of development in groundwater modeling.

关 键 词：地下水模拟 随机理论 地质条件 预报模型 21世纪 

分 类 号：P641.7[天文地球—地质矿产勘探] P641.8[天文地球—地质学]