郊区化过程中职住迁移关系研究——以北京市为例  

People and Job Migration during Suburbanization:A Case Study of Beijing

作　　者：姚永玲[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学经济学院,北京100872

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2011年第4期24-29,共6页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"城市空间扁平分异研究-基于北京市的实证分析"(编号:41071111);中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)(编号:10XNJ007)项目的中间成果

摘　　要：居住与就业关系反映了郊区化的核心动力机制,但由于忽视居住与就业的迁移关系,很多城市出现了大城市病和城市蔓延等问题。以北京市为例,将城市划分为城区和郊区两类空间,人群分为总人口、户籍人口和暂住人口,用1991—2008年各区县人口和从业人员统计数据,采用向量自回归模型,分别探讨城市和郊区三种人口居住与就业的迁移关系。结论显示,人口扩散主要发生在城区内部,城区户籍人口和暂住人口居住与就业迁移有显著的相关性,在两者相互影响关系中户籍人口就业跟随居住而发生迁移;暂住人口表现为居住跟随就业地迁移,两者叠加使郊区化过程比其他国家的城市郊区化复杂。多中心格局的关键是针对户籍人口的居住环境和城市设施与服务的改善,尤其是在郊区发展高端产业而吸引人口向郊区迁移,而非仅靠地租差异对传统产业的挤出效应来实现。Migration relation between people and job is the core dynamics of suburbanization. Lots of urban illness and city sprawl have been caused by neglecting migration of people and job during suburbanization. The author of this paper take a case of Beijing, will organize space into urban areas and suburb areas, as well as group of total population, registered people and non-registered people. Data of people and employee at 1991 -2008 and Vector Auto-Regression （VAR） will be adopted to do the analysis. It concludes that, there is relationship between people and job of both registered and non-registered population, which occurred mainly at urban areas. Lag of the former is one year period; the one of the later is four-year period. They co-enforcing each other makes complicated of suburbanization comparing with other cities in developed countries. Critical way of multi-centrie city requires high-end industries and improvement of infrastructure and environment at stCburb areas, other than land price gap.

关 键 词：郊区化 职居迁移 居住 就业 

分 类 号：F291.3[经济管理—国民经济]