The methodology of quantitative assess economic output of climate change  

作　　者：CHOU JieMing DONG WenJie FENG GuoLin 

机构地区：[1]College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100857, China [2]National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China

出　　处：《Chinese Science Bulletin》2011年第13期1333-1335,共3页

基　　金：supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (2010CB950504);the National High-Tech Research & Development Program of China (2010AA12305)

摘　　要：A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy.The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data,and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model.A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000.The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy. The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data, and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model. A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000. The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.

关 键 词：未来气候变化 经济 定量评估 历史数据 研究人员 模型预测 输出数据 气象数据 

分 类 号：P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] F127[经济管理—世界经济]