昌黎井水氡、水位、降雨之间的相关分析  

CORRELATION ANALYSIS ON THE WATER RADON AND WATER LEVEL OF GROUND WATER IN CHANGLI WELL AND RAINFALL

作　　者：张素欣[1] 郑云贞[1] 

机构地区：[1]河北省地震局,中国石家庄050021

出　　处：《地震》1999年第3期309-312,共4页Earthquake

摘　　要：对 １９８２ 年至 １９９７ 年昌黎井的水氡、水位月均值和昌黎气象站的降雨资料，以不同的时间尺度进行了相关计算。结果表明，水氡与水位资料的趋势变化具有很好的相关性（ Ｒ ＝０．８３３，ｎ ＝ １６８ ）和同步性。较小时间尺度的相关计算结果显示，水位、水氡与降雨不仅具有相关性、同步性，而且也具有差异性，这种差异性特征可作为地震前兆异常，并与唐山地区的地震对应较好。In this paper, the data of monthly mean values for water radon and level of ground water in Changli well and the rainfall data of Changli meteorological observatory from 1982～1997 are calculated. The results show a very good correlation and synchronism in many years among them, but some differences in small time scale. These differences are corresponding to local earthquakes very well. Thus we can make the short term earthquake prediction based on these differences.

关 键 词：相关分析 水位 水氡 降雨 地震前兆 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学]