基于空间视角的中国对外直接投资的影响因素与贸易效应研究  

Influence Factors of China's Outward Direct Investment and It's Trade Effect:a Spatial Econometric Perspective

作　　者：谢杰[1] 刘任余[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江工商大学现代商贸研究中心 [2]浙江工商大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2011年第6期66-74,共9页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：教育部省部共建基地;教育部人文社会科学重点基地浙江工商大学现代商贸研究中心2010年度项目<基于GVC高端延伸视角的浙江对外投资研究>(10JDSM06YB);浙江工商大学产业经济学浙江省重点学科项目"中非农业贸易与投资合作研究"(3010GF13090103);浙江省社会科学界联合会研究课题<浙江省对外直接投资对产业结构升级的影响>(2010B05);2010年度教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目<中非农业贸易和投资合作:实证分析与理论拓展>(10YJC790298);国家自然科学基金项目(70873116)

摘　　要：本文基于新经济地理学空间视角,应用空间计量经济学方法对影响我国对外直接投资的诸因素、以及投资对贸易的作用机制进行了实证考察。研究中发现我国与东道国的投资和贸易活动受"第三方效应"影响。研究表明:我国对外直接投资存在集聚效应;对资源的寻求并不是我国对外直接投资的主要原因;不同地区的投资存在空间互补效应;不同地区的贸易既存在空间互补效应,也存在空间溢出效应;贸易双边距离对我国对外直接投资影响不显著,但对我国出口影响显著;贸易是投资的先导,贸易与投资存在互补效应等。这不仅是对原有理论的有益扩展,更是对我国加快实行"走出去"战略有着深刻的启示意义。Based on the spatial econometric perspective of the new economic geography and the applied spatial econometric methods,the influence factors of ODI as well as the influential mechanism on the trade from investment were studied.The research revealed the influence of the ＂third-country effects＂ on the trade and investment between China and the host countries.Other main research results were as follows：the ODI had aggregation effects;the main momentum of ODI relied not on the pursuing of resources;the investments in different regions had spatial complementation effects;both spatial complementation effects and spatial spillover effects occurred between trades in different regions;the bilateral distance between the trading sides significantly affected the export but not the ODI;trade was often the precursor of investment and the complementation effects occurred between trades and investment.The research results extended the original theory and had broad significance on the acceleration of ＂going out＂ strategy.

关 键 词：空间计量经济学 对外直接投资 影响因素 贸易效应 

分 类 号：F832.48[经济管理—金融学]