基于智能体模拟的结构性疏散计划设计研究  

Design of Structural Evacuation Plans Based on Agent Simulation

作　　者：孟博[1] 刘茂[1] 孙晓磊 王丽[1] 刘付衍华[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学城市公共安全研究中心,天津300071 [2]国家应急救援指挥中心,北京100713

出　　处：《南开大学学报（自然科学版）》2011年第2期68-75,共8页Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Nankaiensis

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划(200603746006);国家自然科学基金重点项目(70833003)

摘　　要：展示了一个基于Agent模拟方法的框架方法,用于为危急中的复杂技术系统设计结构性的疏散计划.该计划利用复杂自适应系统的模拟方式,并采用基于智能体模拟的方法作为认知工具来设计整体系统的疏散方案.结构化的疏散计划应用文中提出的整体性技术框架,没有采用标准化的常规方法.提出了一个使疏散人群能够更加适应的调整危机时刻的紧急情况和减少无效疏散的建议性方案.本框架方法在一个典型的复杂自适应系统—地铁火灾中得到应用.A frame method baesd on Agent simulator was presented.It was used for designing a structural evacuation plan for the complex technological system in crisis.In this method,the evacuation plan of the entirety system was designed using the simulation of the complex adaptive system and with the method based on intelligent agency simulation as a cognitive tool.The structural evacuation plan was designed with the holistic technological frame proposed in this paper instead of the standard conventional method.Therefore,a suggestive plan was proposed to adjust the emergency at the crisis moment,to make evacuated people more adaptive and to reduce ineffective evacuation.The frame method was used in a subway fire whick was a typical complex adaptive system.

关 键 词：智能体模拟 地铁火灾 疏散计划 人群 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]