基于模糊综合评判的煤与瓦斯突出危险性预测  

Coal and Gas Outburst Risk Prediction Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

作　　者：肖俊贤[1] 李希建[2] 孟昭君[1] 

机构地区：[1]贵州大学矿业学院,贵阳550003 [2]贵州省非金属矿产资源综合利用重点实验室,贵阳550003

出　　处：《煤炭技术》2011年第6期112-114,共3页Coal Technology

基　　金：贵州省科技厅国际合作项目(黔科通(2009)80号);教育部春晖计划(教外司留[2008]704号);贵州省科技厅社发攻关项目(黔科合SZ〔2009〕3032)

摘　　要：依据煤与瓦斯突出的相关理论及其影响因素建立了突出危险性评价指标体系,利用层次分析法确定了煤与瓦斯突出中各评价指标的权重,采用模糊综合评价的方法进行了突出危险性预测。通过对发耳煤矿的采煤工作面进行煤与瓦斯突出危险性的定量预测和等级划分,结果表明,应用层次分析-模糊综合评判方法预测是可行的,从而为安全监管提供了依据。Based on related theory of coal and gas outburst and its influencing factors established outburst risk evaluation index system.Strata analysis was used to determine the weight of every evaluation index of coal and gas outburst and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to forecast the outburst dangerous.Coal and gas outburst dangerous quantitative prediction and hierarchies dividing was made in mining area of Faer Coal Mine.The results show that the AHP fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is available for forecasting the coal and gas outburst and providing the basis of safe manage.

关 键 词：煤与瓦斯突出 评价指标体系 模糊综合评价法 层次分析法 

分 类 号：TD713.1[矿业工程—矿井通风与安全]