对外贸易对西部地区经济增长影响的实证研究  

An Empirical Study on the Impact of Foreign Trade on the Economic Growth in West China

作　　者：李裕鸿[1] 

机构地区：[1]井冈山大学商学院,江西吉安343009

出　　处：《经济问题》2011年第6期123-126,共4页On Economic Problems

基　　金：国家民委社科基金项目(08HB01);湖北省教育厅科技处重点项目(D200729001)

摘　　要：以总量生产函数为基础,建立纳入贸易因素的增长核算方程作为实证模型,对西部地区1979～2009年之间经济增长率与固定资产、劳动力以及外贸等的增长率进行加权回归,研究了西部经济增长率与其他变量之间的相互关系。通过不同时期的比较分析发现,对外贸易是继固定资产投资促进西部地区经济增长的又一动力因素;并且投资对西部地区经济增长的贡献率逐渐降低,而出口对该地区经济增长的贡献率是逐渐增加的。最后提出了如何加强该地区外贸稳步发展进而促进经济持续增长的政策建议。Adopt the growth function with trade factor, built on the basis of total production function as an em- pirical model, for regressing the growth rates of economy, fixed asset investment, labour as well as foreign trade in the southwest minority region of China during 1979 -2009 , research the relationships between economic growth rate and other mentioned factors ; the result of staged comparative research indicates that foreign trade is another impetus besides fixed asset investment to the economic growth in that area, and the contribution rate of investment to economic growth becomes increasingly declining, the contribution rate of export to GDP growth becomes increasing- ly increasing. At last, this paper provides with some constructive recommendations about developing foreign trade to promote sustainable economic growth in West China.

关 键 词：对外贸易 经济增长 实证研究 西部地区 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]