基于计量回归模型的我国医疗服务价格规制效果实证分析  

The Empirical Analysis of China's Medical Service Price Regulation Effect Based on Econometric Model

作　　者：陈峰[1] 汤少梁[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京中医药大学,南京210046

出　　处：《价值工程》2011年第18期308-310,共3页Value Engineering

摘　　要：当今中国老百姓"看病贵、看病难"的问题受到了社会各界广泛关注,其中医疗服务市场的核心因素——医疗服务价格直接决定了医疗费用高低和医疗服务利用程度。医疗服务价格规制政策不合理或国家对医疗服务规制不到位是造成目前我国医疗服务市场突出问题的重要原因。本文根据我国基本国情,采用最新的二手数据构建计量回归模型,并在多元回归分析中使用了Prais-Winsten AR(1)迭代法。通过实证的方法证明了医疗服务价格规制是影响医疗费用的重要因素,并得出价格规制出现了内部结构性扭曲的结论。At present, the problem of difficulty and high cost to access medical service is a focus of our society. The core factor of medical service market, medical service price,directly determines the medical service cost and medical service utilization degree. The regulation policy of medical service price is unreasonable or does not reach the designated position, causing the prominent questions in the Chinese medical service market.According to China＇s basic national conditions,use the latest second-hand data to build the econometric model and iteration method of Prais-Winsten AR（1） is used in multiple regression analysis, proving regulation is an important factor affecting medical expenses by the empirical method, and drawing the conclusion of structural distortion appeared in price regulation.

关 键 词：医疗服务价格规制 计量回归模型 Prais—Winsten AR(1)迭代法 

分 类 号：R2[医药卫生—中医学]