影响上海电力需求的主要因素及电力需求预测  

Main factors affecting Shanghai electric power demand and its forecasting

作　　者：黄晨宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海市电力公司发展部,上海200122

出　　处：《电力需求侧管理》2011年第3期72-76,共5页Power Demand Side Management

摘　　要：对上海改革开放后,特别是浦东新区开发后的上海宏观经济发展和电力需求的发展历程进行分析,探索挖掘经济发展模式、产业结构调整以及季节性气温等与上海电力需求之间的关系,从产值单耗、各产业发展趋势和负荷结构3个方面对2011—2012年的上海电力需求进行预测。After reform and opening up in Shanghai, especially after the development of Pudong New Area, Shanghai macroeconomic development and the development process of electricity demand is analyzed to explore the relationship between electricity demand in Shanghai and economic development mode, industrial structure adjustment and seasonal air temperature and etc. From the three aspects of output value consumption perunit, the industry development trends and load structure in Shanghai electricity demand from 2011 to 2012 is forecasted.

关 键 词：经济发展模式 产业结构调整 季节性气温 电力需求 

分 类 号：TM715[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]