寒区水循环与寒区水资源演变  

Review of Researches in Water Circulation and Water Resources Evolution in Cold Area

作　　者：王喜峰[1] 李玮[1] 牛存稳[1] 贾仰文[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技》2011年第3期88-91,共4页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：国家重点基础研究(973)发展规划项目(2006CB403404);中国水利水电科学研究院科研专项(资集KF0701);水利部公益性行业专项(2008332012);国家自然科学基金(509390065102100650779074);国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项课题(2008ZX07209-009-4)

摘　　要：阐述了寒区水循环与寒区水资源演变在变化环境的研究中的意义及作用。分别从国内外的研究中综述了变化环境下寒区水循环与寒区水资源演变研究现状与进展,并归纳了寒区水文模型在寒区水循环研究中研究进展。此外,还分析了寒区水循环和寒区水资源演变研究中的难题和局限,强调了应用水文模型在研究寒区水循环与寒区水资源演变的进展。认为完善寒区水循环物理机制的研究,开发基于寒区水循环机制的分布式水文模型以及寒区水循环和水资源演变的归因分析是未来寒区水循环和水资源演变研究中的发展趋势。This paper describes importance and role of water circulation research and water resources evolution research in cold area. Firstly, this paper reviews the developing stages and the state-of-the art of water circulation and water resources evolutionresearches, and emphasizes the advance and role of distributed water circulation models in these researches. This paper then discusses confronted problems in the researches of water circulation and water resources evolution in cold area. Finally, the developing trends in the future water circulation research water and resources evolution research are presented, including improving the physical mechanism of water circulation in cold area, developing the distributed hydrological models based on water circulation mechanisms of cold area, and attribution analysis of water circulation and water resources evolution.

关 键 词：水循环演变 水资源分析 归因分析 分布式水文模型 冻土层 气候变化 下垫面变化 人类活动 

分 类 号：P343.6[天文地球—水文科学] P334.92[天文地球—地球物理学]