基于模糊贡献度的水面舰艇作战模糊推理方法  

Fuzzy Reasoning Method of Warship Combat Problems Based on Degree of Fuzzy Offering

作　　者：郭锐[1] 伍方明[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院,辽宁大连116018 [2]海军装备研究院综合所,北京100161

出　　处：《火力与指挥控制》2011年第5期46-49,共4页Fire Control & Command Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(60742004);国防"十一五"预研基金资助项目(4010311010301)

摘　　要：水面舰艇作战所涉及到的因素数量众多、关系复杂,可被视为复杂系统。运用综合集成方法,充分发挥专家研讨的作用,是一条有效的研究途径。作为该方法的关键部分,推理技术受到广泛的重视。针对传统推理分析方法存在的弊端,考虑到规则前件与后件之间逻辑关系成立的条件,提出了模糊贡献度的概念;在此基础上,建立了推理规则以及相应的推理分析方法。应用实例表明,新的方法比较充分地考虑到了水面舰艇作战中的逻辑关系,可靠可行。Warship combat can be views as a complex system for the relevant factors are various and complex.Using metasynthetsis and exerting effect of experts＇ discussion are effective approaches.As the key part of above method,reasoning technology has been attached great importance.With aim to solve the disadvantages of traditional reasoning methods,the concept of degree of fuzzy offering is put forward while considering the relations between reasoning rules＇ condition and result,and reasoning method is set up.Examples show that the new method is reliable and doable for considering logistical relations among warship combat adequately.

关 键 词：模糊贡献度 水面舰艇作战 模糊推理 

分 类 号：TP18[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程] E911[自动化与计算机技术—控制科学与工程]