A finite-element simulation of 2008 Wenchuan earthquake and implications for numerical earthquake prediction  

作　　者：Zhu Shoubiao 

机构地区：[1]Institute of Crustal Dynamics, CEA, Beijng 100095, China

出　　处：《Geodesy and Geodynamics》2011年第2期39-42,共4页大地测量与地球动力学（英文版）

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation ofChina(40974020,40074024);National 973 Project of China2008(B425704);State Key Laboratory of Earthguake Dynamics Project(LED2008B02)

摘　　要：The dynamic process of the 2008 Wenehuan earthquake is simulated by finite-element method （ FEM）, and the results suggest that we may be able to estimate the occurrence time, location, and magnitude of similar earthquakes in the future. Thus a numerical earthquake prediction （NEP） program is proposed; the reliability of it is dependent on its gradual refinement and the parameters used in the models.The dynamic process of the 2008 Wenehuan earthquake is simulated by finite-element method （ FEM）, and the results suggest that we may be able to estimate the occurrence time, location, and magnitude of similar earthquakes in the future. Thus a numerical earthquake prediction （NEP） program is proposed; the reliability of it is dependent on its gradual refinement and the parameters used in the models.

关 键 词：FEN simulation numerical earthquake prediction Wenchuan earthquake 

分 类 号：P315.7[天文地球—地震学] TG302[天文地球—固体地球物理学]