反舰导弹突防模型的构造与分析  

THE STRUCTURE OF PENETRATION MODELS OF ANTISHIP MISSILES AND ITS ANALYSIS

作　　者：张传刚[1] 

机构地区：[1]海军大连舰艇学院,大连116018

出　　处：《战术导弹技术》1999年第3期9-13,共5页Tactical Missile Technology

摘　　要：简要分析了影响反舰导弹突防能力的诸多因素。应用排队论的理论和方法,构造了反舰导弹与其火力防御系统的攻防对抗模型,即有限等待时间、多服务员、先来先服务的M/M/C服务系统模型。建立了反舰导弹的突防概率模型,分析了反舰导弹突防概率与其主要因素的关系。提出了在导弹作战运用中为提高反舰导弹突防能力应采取的对策。Several elements that affect the penetration ability of antiship missile are briefly analysed. By queuing theory and method,an attack/defense model of antiship missile and its fire defense system is formed, that is, the M/M/C service system model including limited waiting time, multi-assistants and service for first. A penetration probability model of antiship missiles is established. The relation between the penetration probability and other elements is analysed. The countermeasures are discussed to increase the penetration ability of antiship missiles in missile combats.

关 键 词：反舰导弹 突防能力 概率模型 

分 类 号：TJ761.14[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]