基于新消费者行为理论的供应链应急预案研究  

Research on the Contingency Plan in Supply Chains based on New Consumer Behavior Theories

作　　者：姚珣[1,2] 唐小我[2] 潘景铭[2] 

机构地区：[1]西南民族大学管理学院,四川成都610041 [2]电子科技大学经济与管理学院,四川成都610054

出　　处：《管理工程学报》2011年第2期8-13,共6页Journal of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(70932005);教育部科学技术研究重点项目资助(108112);科技部科技基础性工作专项项目(2007FY140400);四川省软科学项目(2009ZR0064)

摘　　要：本文利用应急管理中的分级思想和新消费者行为理论,提出了应急事件下,估计供应链损失的新方法。通过该方法能够比较容易地算出供应链应急损失值,然后把该值与应急预案的阀值进行比较,从而确定供应链应急预案的启动时机。Supply chain management（SCM） is susceptible to an increasing number of natural disasters and man-made crises.There is a growing need for companies to formulate contingency plans for their supply chains in order to cope with emergency events.Formulation of contingency plans for SCM requires a cross-disciplinary study of plan management and supply chain disruption.However,the combination of these disciplines is still at its inception stage.We conducted a literature review on emergency plans for SCM and identified two major limitations of the current literature.First,current literature treats emergency events in supply chains as static rather than dynamic events.As a result,few studies classify emergency events as dynamic events and propose ways to manage supply chains in a dynamic manner.Second,the current literature lacks a comprehensive view of the nature of emergency events in supply chains.Quantitative studies on the loss value of supply chains caused by emergency events are still in short supply.This finding indicates that the formulation of contingency plans for SCM is still a scarce practice.This paper proposes an emergency response model for supply chains based on consumer behavior theories.Consumers are a polymer of producers and consumers in the proposed research model.During the occurrence of an emergency event,the model can calculate consumer response time,consumption time and working time spent to cope with emergency events.The calculation allows us to indirectly assess the loss that consumers suffer from emergency events in the supply chain.Having knowledge about the distribution

关 键 词：新消费者行为理论 充分收入 供应链应急预案 

分 类 号：F406.7[经济管理—产业经济]