长春低碳生态城市发展测评研究  

Assessment the development of low-carbon and ecological of Changchun City

作　　者：张约翰[1,2] 张平宇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学院东北地理与农业生态研究所,吉林长春130012 [2]中国科学院研究生院,北京100049

出　　处：《东北师大学报（自然科学版）》2011年第2期151-156,共6页Journal of Northeast Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：吉林省科技发展计划项目(20100627);国家自然科学基金面上项目(41071108);中国科学院知识创新工程重要方向项目(KZCX2-YW-342);国家科技支撑计划项目(2008BAH31B06)

摘　　要：基于PSR模型对1999-2008年长春低碳生态城市发展情况和影响效应进行了研究.结果表明:1999-2008年长春市人均碳排放量由平稳转向快速上升,2003和2007年,最高值分别达0.708 t/人和1.307 t/人;而碳排放足迹从1999年的0.076 hm2/人上升到2008年的0.202 hm2/人,两者密切相关.城市碳排放影响效应分析显示,2000-2003年结构和强度效应影响显著,2004-2008年发展与生产效应贡献增大.医药、装备制造业对提升能源利用效益优于传统产业.长春市碳足迹生态压力呈现波动变化态势,排放与经济发展间未达到完全脱钩情景.The article constructed PSR evaluation index system to estimated the development of Changchun and the influence factors from 1999 to 2008.The carbon emission per capita converted from steady to rapid growth from 1999 to 2008,the carbon emission per capita was 0.708 t/per,the highest was 1.307 t/per in 2003 and 2007.Moreover,carbon footprint per capita of city set up from 0.076 hm2/per in 1999 to 0.202 hm2/per in 2008.The carbon footprint was bound up with carbon emission.Base on the LMDI analysis,the intensity effect and structure effect are notable during 2000 to 2003,the development and productive effect were exponential growth from 2004 to 2008.The benefit of Medicine and equipment manufacturing were better than the traditional industries.The EPICF showed two fast growth phase.the increase of carbon emission disconnect economic development.

关 键 词：低碳生态城市 碳排放足迹 LMDI模型 长春市 

分 类 号：F293.1[经济管理—国民经济]