要素价格与中国制造业出口技术结构——基于省级动态面板数据的系统GMM估计  

Factor Prices and Technical Structure of Manufacturing Export in China: System GMM Estimation Based on Inter-provincial Dynamic Panel Data

作　　者：陈晓华[1] 刘慧[1] 

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学经济管理学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《财经研究》2011年第7期103-113,共11页Journal of Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目(09CGJ013);浙江省社科重点研究基地招标项目(10JDQY03YB)

摘　　要：文章基于2002-2008年省级面板数据,运用系统广义矩(System GMM)估计法从国家和地区两个层面就劳动力、资本和原材料等要素价格上涨对制造业出口技术结构的影响进行了实证检验。研究结果表明,要素价格上涨在国家层面上对出口技术结构表现出显著的"倒逼"效应,即要素价格上涨有利于我国对外贸易增长方式的转变,但要素价格上涨对我国东、中、西部地区出口技术结构升级的影响不同。从动态视角看,要素价格上涨所体现出的"倒逼"效应越来越小,而其表现出来的"倒退"效应越来越明显,即要素价格上涨越来越成为企业本身发展的成本负担。Based on the inter-provincial panel data from 2002 to 2008, this paper applies system GMM estimation to make an empirical study on the effect of the increase in factor prices on the technical structure of manufacturing export in China from the nationwide and regional angles. The results show that, from the nationwide angle, the increase in factor prices is advantageous to the change in the pattern of foreign trade growth, but its effect on the upgrading of technical structure of export vary with the region; from the dynamic angle, the positive effect of the increase in factor prices on the technical structure of manufacturing export is weakening and the negative effect becomes more and more distinct.

关 键 词：要素价格 出口技术结构 系统GMM估计 

分 类 号：F424.3[经济管理—产业经济]