我国外商直接投资与经济增长的动态关系:基于面板协整研究  

The Dynamic Relationship between FDI and Economic Growth in China:Based on Panel Co-Integration Method

作　　者：周爱农[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]广州铁路职业技术学院经济管理系,广东广州510430 [2]武汉理工大学经济学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《经济数学》2011年第2期81-84,共4页Journal of Quantitative Economics

摘　　要：利用面板协整方法和面板误差修正模型对1986~2008年间我国28省市外商直接投资与经济增长关系进行实证分析.结果表明,从长期来看经济增长的调整系数为正,表明外商直接投资与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,中国的经济增长会促进外商直接投资增加;但FDI与经济增长的这种长期均衡关系在地区间存在显著差异.Using the panel cointegration method and panel error correction model,this paper empirically analyzed the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth based on the panel data of China＇s 28 provinces from 1986 to 2008.The results show that the adjustment coefficient of economic growth is positive in the long run,which means that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth.The growth of China＇s GDP will lead foreign direct investment to increase.However the long-term equilibrium between FDI and economic growth varies significantly across different provinces.

关 键 词：面板误差修正模型 外商直接投资 经济增长 

分 类 号：F74[经济管理—国际贸易]