我国城镇化对碳排放的影响研究  

Impact of Urbanization on Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China

作　　者：卢祖丹[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术大学管理学院,安徽合肥230026

出　　处：《中国科技论坛》2011年第7期134-140,共7页Forum on Science and Technology in China

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目"中西部地区资源节约型和环境友好型社会建设战略研究"(08&ZD043)

摘　　要：加快城镇化和发展低碳经济是摆在我国政府面前的两大重要任务。本文利用三阶段最小二乘法探讨了我国城镇化对碳排放的影响及其地区差异。研究显示:总体而言,城镇化发展将有利于我国实现碳减排,这在中西部地区尤为明显。此外,东部地区城镇化在样本期内对碳排放影响不明显,但近年来该地区城镇化加剧,碳排放的趋势却日渐清晰。这种差异与地区间不同的消费模式、经济结构、基础设施和区域发展政策有重要关联。Accelerated urbanization and development of low-carbon economy are two important missions of the Chinese government at the moment.The paper explores the influence of urbanization on carbon dioxide emissions by utilizing the Three-Stage Least Square method.The results show that urbanization is generally beneficial to reducing carbon dioxide emissions,especially in the mid-western regions.However,in the eastern regions,urbanization dose not show any significant impact on carbon dioxide emissions in the sample period.Instead,a tendency of increased emissions is observed in the recent years.The above difference is attributed to different consumption patterns,economic structures,infrastructures and policies of the regions under study.

关 键 词：碳排放 城镇化 消费模式 经济结构 基础设施 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]