城市化与中国经济发展关联性分析  

The analysis of inter-correlation between urbanization and economic development in China

作　　者：陈玉和[1] 孙作人[2] 

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学经济管理学院,山东青岛266510 [2]南京航空航天大学经济管理学院,江苏南京210016

出　　处：《青岛科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2011年第2期1-6,共6页Journal of Qingdao University of Science and Technology(Social Sciences)

摘　　要：城市化是经济社会发展过程中的必然趋势与现象。通过灰色关联分析方法,对与城市化变动趋势相关性较强的几类指标进行分析,表明第三产业就业人员占总就业人员的比重、经济活动人口、年末从业人员数、非农业收入占农民总收入比重、城乡居民收入比与城市化指标存在较强的灰色关联度。其中隐含一定的经济意义。Urbanization is the trend and phenomenon of the development of economy and society.This paper finds out 38 indicators of 5 categories which may be relevant to urbanization,and analyses the index of the change trend of urbanization through the method of grey correlation analysis.The result shows that there is comparatively strong grey correlation existing in the proportion of employment of the tertiary industry,the economically active population,the number of employees at the end of the year,the proportion of non-agricultural income in the total income of farmers,and urban and rural income and urbanization indicators.Besides,the implied economic significance was also analyzed in this paper.

关 键 词：城市化 经济发展 灰色关联 GRANGER因果关系检验 

分 类 号：F29[经济管理—国民经济]