重庆市农村居民收入影响消费的实证分析  

Empirical Analysis of the Effect of the Income on the Consumption of Rural Habitants in Chongqing

作　　者：朱莉芬[1] 司林杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆400067

出　　处：《西部论坛》2011年第4期7-12,共6页West Forum

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(70840012)"城市吸纳农民工容量及变迁路径与调控机制研究";重庆市教育委员会科学技术研究项目(KJ090718)"重庆市科技进步对经济增长影响的路径变迁研究"

摘　　要：以弗里德曼的持久性收入假说为理论基础,利用重庆统计数据,分析收入及收入结构对重庆市农村居民消费需求的影响。研究表明,从整体层面分析,持久性收入及其边际消费倾向对农民消费影响最显著,提高持久性收入对农民的消费支出有正的影响;从收入结构分析,农民人均工资性收入和家庭经营收入对消费的影响非常显著,提高农民的工资性收入和家庭经营收入会极大地刺激消费需求。因此,应大力提高农民的持久性收入水平,并不断提高农民的收入预期和边际消费倾向;同时要拓宽农民增收渠道,促进农民家庭非农业收入的增长。Based on the theory of Friedman＇ s permanent income and Chongqing＇ s statistical data, this paper analyzes the effect of income and income structure on the demand of the consumption of rural habitants. The research indicates that the influence of permanent income and its marginal consumption trend on the consumption of rural households is the most prominent on the whole, that raising permanent income has positive effect on peasants＇ consumption expenditure, and that from the view of income structure, the influence of peasants＇ per capita income and household business income on the consumption is very obvious so that increasing wages and household business income can greatly stimulate consumption demand. Thus, Chongqing should vigorously raise peasants＇ permanent income level, increase peasants＇ income expectation and marginal consumption trend, meanwhile, broaden peasants＇ income-increasing channel, and boost the non-agricultural income growth of rural households.

关 键 词：农村居民收入 农村消费 边际消费倾向 收入结构 持久性收入 暂时性收入 工资性收入 家庭经营收入 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]