智能体响应均衡模型  

Study on Agents Response Equilibrium Models

作　　者：胡兆光[1] 

机构地区：[1]国网能源研究院,北京100052

出　　处：《能源技术经济》2011年第6期9-15,共7页Electric Power Technologic Economics

摘　　要：经济系统是非常复杂的,很难用常规的方法模型进行刻画与模拟。随着计算机技术的发展,以及人工智能、神经网络、模糊数学等方法的创新,计算机智能水平不断提高,这使得计算机模拟复杂经济系统的现象成为可能。基于智能体技术及广义模型,研究了模拟经济运行的思路与方法,提出了智能体响应模型,它可以描绘出经济系统中各种商品的供需曲线、价格曲线、产量产值曲线,可及时更新投入产出表,模拟财政货币政策的实施效果,模拟检验某些经济理论或观点等。While the economic system is highly complex and hard to simulate with the conventional mathematical model, it has now become possible to simulate phenomena of the complicated economic system with the computer, thanks to the development of the computer technology, artificial intelligence, neural networks, fuzzy math and other methodological innovations. Based on ~he intelligent agent technology and generalized models, this paper studies the principle and methodologies in the sinmlation of the operation of the economy and proposes the Agents Response Equilibrium （ARE） model, which is able to provide the supply-demand curve, price curve, production curve, and output value curve of goods, to timely update the input and output table, and to simulate the real effects of the fiscal and monetary policies. This model can also be used to simulate and verify economical theories or views.

关 键 词：经济模拟 广义模型 智能体 智能体响应均衡模型(ARE) 

分 类 号：TK-9[动力工程及工程热物理] F015[经济管理—政治经济学]