世界天然气发展趋势  

Global natural gas trends

作　　者：张卫忠[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油集团经济技术研究院

出　　处：《国际石油经济》2011年第6期37-39,55,共4页International Petroleum Economics

摘　　要：全球天然气资源丰富,可满足未来100年的需求,其中非常规天然气资源将在本世纪后半叶成为天然气供应的重要来源。但天然气资源分布极不均衡,未来供应潜力主要来自中东、北非和前苏联地区。世界天然气需求将持续增长,其中发展中国家和资源国天然气消费将快速增长,进一步改变世界天然气消费格局。发电在世界天然气消费利用中占有重要地位。长期看,欧洲和亚太两大市场间的气价联动性将增强,气价保持稳步上升态势。中期内,欧洲和亚太地区气价与油价挂钩的定价机制不会改变,但天然气价格与油价背离的趋势将加剧。Abundant natural gas resources will meet the world's gas needs for the next 100 years,and unconventional gas resources will become an important source of supply in the second half-century.But the distribution of natural gas resources is unbalanced:supply potential is in mainly the Middle East,North Africa and the former Soviet Union.World natural gas demand will continue to grow,primary from the resource endowed countries and developing countries and that will further change the world natural gas consumer mix.Power generation accounts for an important share of natural gas consumption worldwide.In the long term gas prices in the two major markets of Europe and Asia-Pacific will be increasingly linked,and gas prices will maintain a steady upward trend.In the medium term oil and gas prices will continue to be linked in Europe and Asia Pacific,but oil and natural gas prices will increasingly diverge from each other.

关 键 词：世界 天然气 资源 储量 消费 竞争 价格 趋势 

分 类 号：F416.22[经济管理—产业经济]