我国混合动力汽车经济激励政策的效果分析  

Effects Analysis of Government Economic Incentives for Hybrid Electric Vehicles in China

作　　者：唐葆君[1,2] 郑茜[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学管理与经济学院 [2]北京理工大学能源与环境政策研究中心,北京100081

出　　处：《中国能源》2011年第7期24-29,共6页Energy of China

基　　金：2010年高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助课题(20101101120040);云南省省院省校教育合作项目(Sysx201005)

摘　　要：本文在了解国外工业发达国家针对新能源汽车出台的经济激励政策的基础上,归纳了我国已出台的补贴政策。立足于国内新能源汽车产业处于起步阶段的实情,综合运用情景分析法、回归模型以及面板固定效应模型对预处理后的4个主要试点城市混合动力汽车市场份额数据进行定量分析,旨在预估一系列补贴政策未来可能产生的效果。在文中设定的4种情景下,中国混合动力汽车经济激励措施的效果都是显著的,值得继续推行。On the base of understanding the foreign industrial developed countries issued economic incentive policies of new energy electric vehicles, this article summarizes Chinese subsidies policies released by the central and local governments. In order to estimate the possible effect of a series of economic subsidies, it bases on the fact that domestic electric vehicles industry is just at the initial stage, and using scenario analysis, regression model and panel data fixed-effect model to make the quantitative analysis of the market share of hybrid electric vehicles in pretreatment of 4 main pilot cities. In the four scenarios set in the paper, it has obtained significant effects from Chinese monetary subsidies, which should be continuously implemented.

关 键 词：补贴 激励 混合动力汽车 固定效应 

分 类 号：F426.471[经济管理—产业经济]