耦合产业系统中资源与污染的结构性动态分析  

The Dynamic Analysis of Resources and Pollutant of Coupling Industry System

作　　者：尹新哲[1] 杨红[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川外语学院,重庆市400031

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2011年第7期87-94,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金研究项目(基金号:07XJY012)

摘　　要：可持续的产业发展分析往往关注于经济增长与资源、环境之间的互动影响,以及它们在最优增长路径上的动态分配过程,一般很少考虑产业依赖的资源与产业发展中环境诸要素(如衰减能力、环境本底值等)的背景条件不同而引发的耦合产业结构和规模的问题[1-14]。本文主要对基于资源消耗和可持续发展框架下耦合产业系统的最优化增长路径上产业结构的动态变化进行刻画和模拟实证。数值模拟显示,对于可持续的耦合产业系统长期发展而言,两个产业的结构和规模将随着环境诸要素动态变化,随之产生的社会效益和环境损害也是动态变化的。而且,资源的消耗水平、耦合产业中各子产业的发展结构、环境条件将影响到耦合产业系统的最优增长路径,在特定的情况下将出现类似于Kuznets曲线性状的拐点。The sustainable industrial development analysis always pays attention to the mutual influence between economic growth,resources and environment,and dynamic allocation process on the optimal growth path.We rarely take the coupling industrial structure and scale into consideration caused by different background of the resources and environmental factors（such as assimilative capacity of pollutant and environmental background value）.This paper develops and characterizes demonstration through the dynamic analysis of industrial resources consumption structure based on optimal growth path of coupling industry of under the frame of consumption of resources and sustainable development.To the long run of the sustainable coupling industry,Numerical simulation shows that Structure and scale of the two industries will change in the wake of the changes of environmental factors,and so does the social benefit and environmental damage.Resource consumption level,the development of the irradiation industries,environment condition will have effect on the optimal growth path of the coupling industrial system.Under specific circumstances,there will be the saddle point like the Kuznets curve.

关 键 词：耦合产业 污染物衰减水平 环境容量 规模与结构 

分 类 号：F260[经济管理—国民经济]