中国与东盟各国间的贸易与FDI关系实证研究  

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship of Trade and FDI between China and ASEAN Countries

作　　者：赖石成[1] 钟伟[2] 

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学国际工商学院 [2]云南财经大学

出　　处：《东南亚纵横》2011年第7期16-20,共5页Crossroads：Southeast Asian Studies

摘　　要：本文选取2003～2009年间中国与东盟各国贸易和直接投资面板数据,用实证方法研究中国和东盟各国间的贸易与对外直接投资(FDI)的关系,结果表明:中国对缅甸、印度尼西亚、老挝、新加坡、越南的FDI及新加坡对中国的FDI促进进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易;中国对文莱、柬埔寨、菲律宾的FDI及文莱对中国的FDI促进出口贸易;中国对柬埔寨的直接投资促进进出口总贸易;泰国对中国的FDI与进口贸易、出口贸易、进出口总贸易间存在替代效应。此外,对外直接投资和贸易具有极强的双向因果关系。Based on China and ASEAN countries＇ trade and direct investment panel data of 2003-2009, this paper analyzes the relationship of Trade and FDI between China and ASEAN countries by applying the method of empirical analysis. The results showed that： China＇s FDI in Myanmar,Indonesia,Laos, Singapore and Vietnam and Singapore＇s FDI in China have promoted the import trade, export trade, import and export total trade ; China＇s FDI in Brunei, Cambodia and Philippines and Brunei＇s FDI in China have promoted the export trade; China＇s FDI in Carbodia have prometed the impart and export total trade; Thailand＇s FDI in China has replace import trade, export trade, import and export total trade,and vice versa. In addition, there has a strong two-way causal relationship between foreign direct investment and trade.

关 键 词：中国和东盟 贸易 直接投资 面板数据 实证研究 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]