中国园艺产品出口增长的成因分析——基于CMS模型的分解  

Causes of China's Horticultural Products Export Growth

作　　者：吕建兴[1] 刘建芳[1] 祁春节[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《经济与管理》2011年第8期11-16,共6页Economy and Management

基　　金：国家现代农业(柑橘)产业技术体系(MATS)专项经费资助(CARS-07-07B);湖北省高等学校优秀中青年科技创新团队计划项目(T200813);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(2011PY060)

摘　　要：中国园艺产品持续贸易顺差对于平衡农产品贸易逆差具有重要的作用。对1992—2008年中国园艺产品出口贸易变动情况进行分析,研究结果表明:世界贸易规模的扩大是中国园艺产品出口持续增长的主要原因;商品出口结构对园艺产品出口起阻碍作用,而且阻碍作用越来越明显;市场分布由阻碍作用逐渐转为促进作用,而且促进作用越来越突出;市场竞争力的下降是中国园艺产品出口放缓的主要原因,而且阻碍作用进一步加大。The continued trade surplus of China＇s horticultural products play an important role in balancing agricultural products trade deficit.The author carries on stage analysis about the export trade change of China＇s horticultural products during 1992 to 2008,the result shows that： the scale of the expansion of world trade is the main reason for continued export growth in horticultural products;and the commodity export structure plays impede effect on horticultural products export and effect is more and more obvious.The role of market distribution is gradually changing from rejection to promotion,and the functions are becoming more and more outstanding.The decline of the market competitiveness is the main reason of slowdown of China＇s horticultural products export,and the side effect intensifies further.

关 键 词：园艺产品 出口增长成因 CMS模型 中国 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]