基于事故态势等级评判的电力应急指挥中心启动辅助决策分析  

ADM analysis of power emergency command center to start based on accident state and tendency grade evaluation

作　　者：程向辉[1] 刘俊勇[1] 冯瀚[2] 贺星棋[1] 韩卫恒[1] 胥威汀[1] 

机构地区：[1]四川大学电气信息学院智能电网四川省重点实验室,四川成都610065 [2]四川省电力公司,四川成都610065

出　　处：《电力系统保护与控制》2011年第16期45-52,共8页Power System Protection and Control

摘　　要：针对当前电力应急调度系统运行机制不够完善,电力应急指挥中心启动缺少明确决策依据的状况,通过6大信息系统获取事故灾害实时信息对电力系统事故灾害进行分析,提出了较为完整的电力系统事故态势等级评判指标体系。采用模糊层次分析法对电力系统事故态势进行综合评判,该方法为电力应急指挥中心启动决策提供了可资参考的依据,对全系统快速进入应急响应以及采取应对措施具有积极的实际意义。最后以IEEE-30节点系统为例验证了该方法的合理性和有效性。For the situation that the current scheduling system operating mechanism is imperfect and power emergency command center lacks of a clear basis for decision making, this paper presents a more complete power system evaluation index system of accident state and tendency grade through analyzing power system accident and disaster via the real-time inforamation acquired fi＇om six information system. Using the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP） method to evaluate the power system accident situation comprehensively, this method provides power emergency command center with the reference of available information, and has positive practical significance for the system quickly accessing m emergency response and taking response measures. In the end, the rationality and effectiveness of the method is validated in the example of the IEEE-30 system.

关 键 词：电力系统 事故态势 应急指挥中心 模糊层次分析法 辅助决策 

分 类 号：TM711[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]