最优货币区理论在中国的应用研究——基于聚类分析方法  

Study on the Theory of Optimum Currency Areas in China:Based on Clustering Analysis Method

作　　者：卢万青[1] 谢中川[1] 

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学国际经贸学院,广东广州510006

出　　处：《金融理论与实践》2011年第8期42-46,共5页Financial Theory and Practice

基　　金：广东省自然科学基金博士启动项目(项目编号:8451042001001878)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：自蒙代尔提出最优货币区理论后,就引起了学术界广泛关注。他指出,最优货币区的经济单位是区域,而不是主权。最优货币区可以跨国界,也可以在一国以内。本文创新地把聚类分析方法用于对中国最优货币区的分类问题,说明在中国内部确实存在几个最优货币区,且指出每个区域的地区构成。最后,提出由于中国内部存在多个货币区域,统一的货币政策必然带来区域效应,中国必须加快最优货币区进程。Since Mundell has proposed the theory of optimum currency areas, it attracted academic attention. He points out that the optimum currency areas are the regional economic units, not sovereign, which can be crossed-border, also within a country. This paper innovates a way to use clustering analy- sis in class of the optimum currency areas in China, explains that the internal China exists more than one of optimum currency areas, then points out the regions of every area . Finally, the paper puts for- ward that unified monetary policy cannot but bring in effect of region due to the existing multiple cur- rency areas, China must accelerate the process of optimum currency areas.

关 键 词：最优货币区 聚类分析 主成分分析 货币政策 

分 类 号：F821.1[经济管理—财政学]