基于状态空间的变参数方法的重庆市城乡二元经济结构影响因素研究  

Research on Elements Affecting the Urban-Rural Dual Economic Structure of Chongqing City:Based on State Space Methods

作　　者：贺翔[1] 王浴青[2] 许秀川[3,4] 

机构地区：[1]重庆城市管理职业学院,重庆401331 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072 [3]西南大学农学与生物科技学院,重庆400716 [4]西南大学农业教育发展研究中心,重庆400716

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2011年第21期13161-13165,共5页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：重庆市科学技术委员会软科学重点项目(CSTC;2010CE0015);重庆市社会科学规划项目(2010YBJJ13)

摘　　要：对重庆市统筹城乡的历史背景及城乡二元经济结构的演变过程与趋势做了回顾与分析,并在前人研究的基础上对城乡二元经济结构影响因素与变量进行了选择,建立了计量经济学模型,采用基于状态空间卡尔曼滤波方法,分析了各影响因素对城乡二元经济强度的动态影响。根据实证结论,提出了促进重庆统筹城乡经济发展的相关政策建议。The background and history of Chongqing City＇s urban and rural development,and the process and trend of its urban-rural dual economic structure development were reviewed and analyzed.Based on the preview studies,the influencing factors and variables that affected the urban-rural dual economic structure were selected and an econometrics model was constructed.With the methods of state space and Kalman filter,the dynamic effects of the variables on urban economy intensity were discussed.According to the empirical results,suggestions for promoting the urban-rural harmonious developments of Chongqing City were proposed.

关 键 词：城乡二元经济结构 状态空间模型 重庆市 

分 类 号：F299.21[经济管理—国民经济]