哈大齐工业走廊土地利用空间变化动态模拟  

Dynamic Simulation of the Spatial Changes of Land Use in the Ha-Da-Qi Industrial Corridor

作　　者：张丽娟[1] 李文亮[1] 刘栋[1] 周东颖[1] P.H.Verburg 

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨师范大学地理科学学院,哈尔滨150025 [2]荷兰瓦格宁根大学环境科学学院

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2011年第9期1180-1186,共7页Progress in Geography

基　　金：国家科技部"973"项目(2010CB950903);哈尔滨师范大学科技发展预研项目(08XYG-07)

摘　　要：CLUE-S模型是研究中小尺度规模高分辨率土地利用变化空间模拟模型,哈大齐工业走廊面积为3451044hm2,属于大尺度规模的研究区域。本研究基于哈大齐工业走廊1990、2000、2005年的Landsat TM遥感影像资料,利用CLUE-S模型首先对哈大齐工业走廊所属的7个市县土地利用变化分别进行模拟,然后将各市县土地利用变化模拟图进行拼接,采用面积优先法解决拼接时所遇到的行政区边界出现的土地利用类型不连续面,实现了利用CLUE-S模型模拟大尺度规模的土地利用变化空间模拟。研究结果表明,哈大齐工业走廊地区2015年土地利用变化主要趋势表现为耕地数量将略有增加,约增加2.62%,建设用地将明显增加,约增加24.37%,林地、草地和水域面积减少较为突出,分别减少11.17%、6.44%、18.04%,未利用地减少约5.58%。CLUE-S model is a spatial simulation model used in small-scale and high-resolution land use change simulation, in which raster data are directly expressed by the land use type. The area of the Ha-Da-Qi industrial corridor is 34510.44 km^2, and is a large-scale study area. This paper simulates land use change in seven cities and counties of the Ha-Da-Qi industrial corridor based on Landsat TM remote sensing data of 1990, 2000 and 2005, splicing land use change simulation maps of each city and county. The study realizes the large-scale land use change simulation by using CLUE-S model. The research results can be drawn as follows. The major trend of land use change in the Ha-Da-Qi industrial corridor up to 2015 is that cultivated land will increase slightly by about 2.62%. Construction land will significantly increase by about 24.37%, and forest, grassland and water area will decrease by about 11.17%, 6.44% and 18.04% respectively. Unused land will decrease by about 5.58%.

关 键 词：土地利用变化 CLUE-S模型 空间动态模拟 哈大齐工业走廊 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济] F224