基于投入产出法的上海市固定资产投资效应分析  

A Research On the Shanghai Fixed Investment Effect Based On Input And Output Method

作　　者：马鹏晴[1] 姜国麟[2] 

机构地区：[1]上海社会科学院经济研究所,200020 [2]上海社会科学院数量经济研究中心,200020

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2011年第9期62-70,97,共10页Shanghai Journal of Economics

摘　　要：本文主要利用上海市投入产出表及有关统计数据分析固定资产投资对上海市重点部门及产业结构升级的带动作用;并测算了单位固定资产投资诱发的收入分配结构。研究表明,投资在上海市国内生产总值(GDP)中占有较高的比重,但投资对GDP的贡献率并不高;相对而言,优先发展资本与知识要素比较密集的制造业,同时不应放弃对纺织业、化学工业和金属冶炼及压延加工等传统工业的投资。单位固定资产投资诱发的收入分配结构中,单位固定资产投资诱发的劳动者报酬基本没有大的变动,诱发的社会纯收入中企业的营业盈余比例有所提高。In this paper, we use Shanghai input-Output tables and relevant statistical data, based on the correlation between industrial chain, to analysis the fixed assets investment impact on key sectors in Shanghai and the industrial structure upgrade, and measure the distribution structure induced by per unit fixed assets investment. It＇s shown that investment occupies a higher proportion in Shanghai GDP, while the contribution ratio of investment to GDP is not too high. As shown, giving priority to the development of capital-intensive and knowledge-intensive manufacturing sector, traditional industries such as the textile industry, chemical industry industry, the distribution structure show that there are no major changes we should not abandon some and metal smelting and rolling in pay of workers induced by per fixed investment, the proportion of Enterprises surplus in social net income induced by per unit fixed assets investment.

关 键 词：固定资产投资 产业结构 产业选择 分配结构 

分 类 号：F172[经济管理—世界经济]