基于应急演练的化工安全模糊专家系统  

An emergency drilling-based fuzzy expert system for chemical safety

作　　者：易涛[1] 朱群雄[1] 刘鹏涛 

机构地区：[1]北京化工大学信息科学与技术学院,北京100029 [2]北京华康达计算机应用技术有限公司,北京100029

出　　处：《化工学报》2011年第10期2818-2827,共10页CIESC Journal

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费(JD1104;ZY1111)~~

摘　　要：在化工安全研究领域中,应用计算机辅助应急预案演练是当今研究的重要方向,其中构建演练专家系统平台是其关键。本文重点分析研究了应急预案演练中的推理技术,获取应急预案中的安全信息及专家知识并加以模糊化,并采用智能混合描述方法实现演练推理机的设计与应用,从而通过精确规则和模糊逻辑规则建立了演练专家系统。通过航煤加氢应急演练案例展示,验证了该应急演练系统在大型石化安全生产应用中的有效性和实用性。In the research field of chemical safety, the computer-aided emergency plan drilling has become a major trend in current research, in which the establishment of expert system plan for drilling is the key point. In the paper, the analysis and study lay emphasis on the inference technology in emergency plan drilling to acquire the safety information and expert knowledge by fuzzy method, and the intelligent mixed method is used to establish the inference engine by accurate and fuzzy logic rules, so that the design and application of the drilling expert system for drilling is realized. The experimental case of an emergency drilling in Aviation Kerosene Hydrogenation proves the validity and practicability of the proposed emergency drilling system in the safety production of large-scale petrochemical enterprises.

关 键 词：化工安全 模糊专家系统 推理机 应急预案 应急演练 

分 类 号：X913.4[环境科学与工程—安全科学]