气候变化对水资源影响的研究现状与展望  

Current Status and Prospect of Research on Influence of Climate Change on Water Resource

作　　者：许云锋[1] 左其亭[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州大学水科学研究中心,郑州450001

出　　处：《南水北调与水利科技》2011年第5期80-84,共5页South-to-North Water Transfers and Water Science & Technology

基　　金：国家"973"项目(2010CB951004);国家自然科学基金项目(51079132);国家科技支撑计划(2008BAB42B09);高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助课题(20094101110002);教育部社科研究基金规划基金项目(10YJAZH027)

摘　　要：随着科技的发展、人口的激增,人类活动已经触及到地球的方方面面。温室气体的大量排放导致了近年来气候变化无常,也对水资源方面造成很大的影响,同时也对人类生活和自然生态方面造成了许多负面影响。本文综述了当前气候变化对流域水资源量、干旱洪涝频率、水质、农业灌溉水量等4方面的影响,综合考虑了国内国外的研究现状,并对未来研究方向提出一定的预想。With the development of science and technology and the growth of population, human activities have reached every aspect of the earth. Greenhouse-gas emissions have led to the recent climate variability, and have great impact on water resource, human life and the natural ecological aspects. Based on related literatures, this paper reviewed the current state of research on influence of climate change on the water resource quantity, drought and flood frequency,water quality and agriculture irrigation water amount. The problems in the current research are summarized, including that the research on influence of climate change on water quality is still at the stage of theoretical study, the spatial scale and time scale between hydrological models and general climate models （GCMs） are different, and so on. Finally, taking into consideration of research status at home and abroad, some new thoughts and the calculation model on the influence of climate change on water quality are put forward.

关 键 词：气候变化 水资源 影响研究 研究现状 

分 类 号：TV211[水利工程—水文学及水资源] P467[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]