基于挣值的软件开发风险动态评价方法  

A Dynamic Evaluation Method of Software Development Risk Based on the Earned Value

作　　者：胥琳[1,2] 王宗军[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中科技大学管理学院,湖北武汉430074 [2]浙江工业大学经贸管理学院,浙江杭州310014

出　　处：《工业工程与管理》2011年第4期60-66,共7页Industrial Engineering and Management

摘　　要：针对软件开发风险的动态特征,在静态模糊评价的基础上,采用挣值理论中的进度绩效指数和成本绩效指数,提出了一种多阶段的动态风险评价方法,并给出了具体的评价步骤。最后结合实例进行了应用分析,结果表明该方法能为项目管理提供更准确的依据。In view of the dynamic characteristics of Software development risk,a multi-phases dynamic risk evaluation method was proposed based upon static fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,which adopted Schedule Performed Index and Cost Performed Index from the earned value theory,and evaluation process was described.Finally,practical example result was given to provide the more accurate references for project management.

关 键 词：软件风险 模糊评价 挣值管理 软件质量 

分 类 号：TP18[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程]