重大突发事件情景演变中的即兴决策  

A Study on Improvised Decision-Making in Scenario Evolvement of Serious Emergency

作　　者：薛耀文[1] 张国凤[2] 黄欢[2] 

机构地区：[1]山西师范大学经济与管理学院,山西临汾041004 [2]太原科技大学经济与管理学院,太原030024

出　　处：《山西师大学报（社会科学版）》2011年第5期24-28,共5页Journal of Shanxi Normal University(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(70533030);山西省软科学基金项目(201104102-02)

摘　　要：本文在案例分析的基础上,对重大突发事件的特征进行了辨识,依据决策理论对一般决策、应急决策与即兴决策的涵义和主要特征进行了归纳,提出了重大突发事件环境下进行即兴决策的必要性;最后,本文分析了在事件发生的不同阶段、不同的决策层级等条件下即兴决策应用的频率和重要程度。On the basis of case study,the properties of serious emergency are first identified in this paper.Then,the connotation and main characteristics of general decision-making,emergency decision-making and improvised decision-making are discussed on the basis of the decision theory.What＇s more,this thesis puts forward the necessity of improvised decision-making in serious emergency.Finally,the paper analyses applied frequency and importance of improvisational decision-making in different stages during the emergency and for decision makers in different levels.

关 键 词：重大突发事件 情景演变 即兴决策 

分 类 号：C934[经济管理—管理学]