山东省旅游业与综合运输体系的灰色关联动态分析  

Grey Relational Dynamic Analysis on the Tourism and Comprehensive Transportation System of Shandong Province

作　　者：衣莉芹[1] 

机构地区：[1]山东交通学院管理系,山东济南250023

出　　处：《山东交通学院学报》2011年第3期30-33,86,共5页Journal of Shandong Jiaotong University

基　　金：山东省软科学研究计划项目(2010RKB02001);山东交通学院科研基金项目(R201002)

摘　　要：运用灰色系统分析法对山东省旅游业与综合运输体系的相关关系进行了定量分析。分析发现:旅游人数、饭店数量与交通的关联性最强,表明旅游产业规模与运输业直接存在相互引致发展的效用;而旅游收入、旅行社数量与交通的关联性较弱,表明山东省旅游产业效益较低,旅游产业结构有待优化。一直以来,航空对山东入境旅游、国内旅游的影响均处首要地位,公路次之,铁路和内河航运的影响较小,而且其影响力趋弱。Grey system method is used to analyze the correlation between tourism and transportation industry.The analysis shows that the number of tourists and hotels has strong correlation with transportation,which means tourism and transportation industry can help each other forward.Both income from tourism and quantity of travel agency have less correlation with transportation,which shows that the benefit of Shandong tourism industry is comparatively lower and optimization of the tourism structure should be accelerated.Air transportation has been the first factor affecting the international tourism and domestic tourism,highway transportation the second,rail transportation and inside river shipping the third and whose influence becomes weaker.

关 键 词：旅游业 综合运输体系 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F59[经济管理—旅游管理]