基于信息扩散理论的管道第三方破坏概率模型研究及应用  

The Research and Application of Probability Model about the Third Party's Damage in Pipelines Based on the Information Diffusion Theory

作　　者：孙传青[1] 姚安林[1] 

机构地区：[1]西南石油大学研究生部,四川成都610500

出　　处：《石油工业技术监督》2011年第4期10-11,共2页Technology Supervision in Petroleum Industry

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目(2006BAK02B01)

摘　　要：管道第三方破坏模型中引入信息扩散理论,给出了第三方破坏的概率预测模型,并进行了实例计算。结果表明该模型可以对管道第三方破坏做出有效的概率预测。The information diffusion theory is introduced to the model of third party＇s damage in pipelines.Then the probability forecasting model of the third party＇s damage is given,followed by the calculation of practical examples.The results indicate that this model can have effective probability prediction for the third party＇s damage in oil and gas pipelines.

关 键 词：第三方破坏 信息扩散理论 概率模型 

分 类 号：TE88[石油与天然气工程—油气储运工程]