中国产业结构变动的碳排放效应研究——基于省级面板数据  

Industrial Structure and CO_2 Emissions in China:Evidence from Province Level Data

作　　者：肖慧敏[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,长沙410079

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2011年第5期84-87,92,共5页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(07&ZD017)

摘　　要：在二氧化碳(CO2)排放影响因素的模型框架内,利用1995—2008年中国省级的面板数据,着重分析产业结构演变对CO2排放的影响。结果表明,产业结构演进决定CO2排放的基本走向,刚性产业结构演进特征使单位CO2排放居高不下;二产主导的产业结构对我国CO2排放产生了明显的增速效应,延缓了CO2排放倒"U"型变化过程。因此,依托低碳经济助推产业结构升级,优化第一、第二产业内部结构,大力发展第三产业,转向低能耗低CO2排放的产业结构是中国低碳经济发展的必由之路。Under the framework of carbon emissions model and based on the estimated carbon dioxide emissions data from 2000 to 2009 on province-level,this paper explores the impact of various factors on carbon dioxide emissions,especially,the factor of industrial structure.The robust results show that industrial structure,an important contributor,has a direct impact on carbon dioxide emissions.the effects of industrial structure evolution on energy intensity also was first acceleration and then deceleration.The structure evolution of industry will play an important role in developing low carbon economy in the next twenty years or more.

关 键 词：产业结构 CO2排放 省级数据 

分 类 号：F424.0[经济管理—产业经济]