电力系统长期负荷预测方法综述  

Comprehensive Illustration on Long-term Load Forecasting Method in Electrical Power System

作　　者：谢传胜[1] 贾晓希[1] 刘宏志[1] 华生萍[1] 

机构地区：[1]华北电力大学经济管理学院,北京102206

出　　处：《科技和产业》2011年第9期69-71,共3页Science Technology and Industry

摘　　要：针对长期负荷预测在电力系统中发挥的重要作用,梳理长期负荷预测用到的主要方法,将相关方法主要分为两大类:参数化方法和人工智能方法。通过对近年来此领域有关文献的介绍,总结目前论文创作的三大思路:基本方法、改进方法以及组合创新方法。最后提出关于长期负荷预测方法的新思路和建议。Based on the long-term load forecasting in the power system plays an essential role, the mian methods used in long-term load forecasting is summed up , and the mehods are divided into two categories： parametric method and artificial intelligence method. According to the literatures of recent years in this field are introduced, three ideas are concluded： the basic method,the improvement methods and the combined innovation meth- ods. Finally some new ideas and suggestions about how to make load forecasting more accurate are presented.

关 键 词：电力系统 长期负荷预测 参数化方法 人工智能方法 

分 类 号：F410[经济管理—产业经济]